Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.174350 0.200414 0.230241 0.267161 0.311999 0.365156 0.433645
2025-04-13 0.131738 0.164166 0.205441 0.262904 0.342613 0.452067 0.618924
2025-04-20 0.109326 0.144521 0.193024 0.267049 0.381573 0.560244 0.878750
2025-04-27 0.095101 0.131656 0.185322 0.273675 0.423803 0.686600 1.231123
2025-05-04 0.084579 0.121558 0.178751 0.279156 0.464409 0.824838 1.689734
2025-05-11 0.076875 0.114114 0.174388 0.286472 0.509631 0.990343 2.330884
2025-05-18 0.070029 0.106802 0.168660 0.289565 0.547182 1.156985 3.128399
2025-05-25 0.064173 0.100194 0.162864 0.290931 0.581298 1.333011 4.153841
2025-06-01 0.058851 0.093744 0.156242 0.289034 0.607371 1.502904 5.394844
2025-06-08 0.053970 0.087449 0.148929 0.284073 0.624516 1.658153 6.839938
2025-06-15 0.051231 0.084660 0.147851 0.292428 0.679030 1.969734 9.793971
2025-06-22 0.047403 0.079424 0.141209 0.286692 0.693112 2.151163 12.462199
2025-06-29 0.044832 0.076357 0.138690 0.290647 0.738640 2.499657 17.869255
2025-07-06 0.041849 0.072207 0.133412 0.286857 0.759718 2.768676 24.047339
2025-07-13 0.039882 0.069851 0.131653 0.291779 0.812126 3.246367 36.757477
2025-07-20 0.038287 0.068072 0.130908 0.299291 0.877648 3.881699 60.729933
2025-07-27 0.036735 0.066220 0.129752 0.305465 0.941945 4.612123 104.279072
2025-08-03 0.035436 0.064766 0.129317 0.313684 1.019448 5.577565 200.684451
2025-08-10 0.033959 0.062794 0.127414 0.317161 1.079678 6.543863 390.181577
2025-08-17 0.032496 0.060724 0.125027 0.318697 1.133053 7.588284 816.001473
2025-08-24 0.030963 0.058375 0.121690 0.316566 1.168916 8.569215 1768.003401
2025-08-31 0.029386 0.055807 0.117537 0.310995 1.185762 9.408605 3929.243915
2025-09-07 0.028627 0.055006 0.117782 0.320379 1.288263 11.721334 28312.072723